2025-09-02 12:51:21
Markets enter September under high alert as a wave of top-tier economic data is set to test risk sentiment and dictate central bank paths.
Eurozone CPI is due first, and with inflation stuck at 2%, traders must watch for any upside surprise that could reignite ECB hawkish bets. A print above consensus risks sending EUR/USD sharply higher, with bulls eyeing the 1.20 handle.
Australia’s GDP follows on Wednesday, and with inflation running hot at 2.8%, even a modest beat could fuel renewed AUD strength. Traders positioned in AUD/USD and AUD/JPY need to prepare for volatility.
Thursday brings the Global Services PMI and ADP jobs report, with consensus just 71K after last month’s collapse. A miss here would likely accelerate Fed cut expectations, weighing heavily on the dollar and lifting gold.
But all eyes are on Friday’s US Non-Farm Payrolls. The market is pricing an 89% chance of a 25 bps September cut. A blowout jobs report risks derailing that view, while another weak print could spark aggressive USD selling and a surge in risk assets.
For traders, this is not a week to sit idle. Position sizing, stop placement, and swift reaction to releases will define profitability as volatility erupts across FX, commodities, and indices.
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