US Markets Rebound After Holiday Dip: Is the Bullish Trend Intact?

Overview:

1. Markets Opened Bearish But Recovered – After a sharp drop at the open following the holiday, US markets rebounded strongly by the end of the session, maintaining their bullish structure.
2. Tech and Communication Sectors Lead Performance – The overall market remains resilient, with the communication services sector showing the strongest one-year gains, signaling continued investor confidence.
3. Major Indices Eyeing New Highs – The Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 are testing key levels, with Nasdaq and S&P 500 approaching all-time highs, suggesting potential for further upside if resistance levels break.

US Market Opens Bearish but Recovers Strongly

After the holiday break, the U.S. stock market experienced a sharp decline at the open, triggering concerns among traders. However, the market staged a strong recovery by midday, erasing most of its early losses. The initial bearish sentiment faded before the close, reinforcing the overall bullish structure of the market.

Currently, the market remains in an uptrend, supported by the U.S. dollar's weakness. This trend suggests that investors are still confident in the broader economic outlook.

Market Performance: Sectors Remain Strong

The U.S. stock market continues to show resilience, with key sectors maintaining strong performance. Notably, the communication services sector leads in one-year performance, indicating no major signs of weakness or reversal potential in the broader market.

Technical Analysis

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): Recovery in Progress

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) saw a significant drop but recovered swiftly. For bullish continuation, it needs to hold above the equilibrium level and remain within the premium range of the overall trend. A breakout above 44,765.45 could signal further upside momentum.

Nasdaq: Eyeing New All-Time Highs

Nasdaq has filled and invalidated the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), closing above it, reinforcing bullish sentiment. A move beyond 22,245.55 could pave the way for a new all-time high. Given the bullish premium environment, a breakout remains likely, though traders should remain flexible as market conditions evolve.

Key stop loss placement: Below 22,142.40 to protect against sudden reversals.

S&P 500: Breaking Into New Highs

The S&P 500 is testing its previous high at 6,136.79, seeking to break higher. Prior bearish volume imbalances have been invalidated, and the index is receiving strong support between 6,130.34 – 6,134.31. If a breakout occurs, further upside is likely.

Recommended stop loss: Below 6,122.99, behind the bearish candle, to safeguard against downside risks.

Summary:

Despite an initial bearish start, the U.S. market displayed strong resilience, recovering quickly and maintaining its bullish trajectory. Sector performance remains solid, with no evident signs of a major reversal.

• Dow Jones: Needs to stay above equilibrium for bullish continuation, with a breakout above 44,765.45 as a key signal.
• Nasdaq: Aiming for new highs; break above 22,245.55 confirms momentum.
• S&P 500: Testing prior highs with strong support, watching for a breakout above 6,136.79.

Overall, the market remains in a bullish state, but traders should continue monitoring price action and key levels for confirmation of further moves.

“Trade the trend until it bends.” – Ed Seykota

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