2025-07-23 12:29:52
Anticipate the Bounce. Time the Breakout. Trade with Multi-Timeframe Confidence.
If you’re just joining the series, check out:
To show you how to anticipate where price is likely to react, bounce, or break — by using the 20 EMA and 50 SMA as dynamic support/resistance zones, combined with multi-timeframe analysis and lower timeframe breakout confirmation.
Most traders use MAs to confirm trend.
But smart traders know that MAs often act as magnet zones — places where price pauses, bounces, or reverses.
Especially the:
These areas often attract:
“Don’t just wait to see if price bounces. Anticipate where and why it might bounce — then look for confirmation.”
Go to the H1 or H4 (or Daily if you’re a swing trader):
These levels become your anticipated bounce areas on the lower timeframes.
Note: You could use a much lower timeframe like the 15-minute to serve as your trend confirmation timeframe and the 5-3-1-minute as your execution if you are executing in a scalping-based approach.
On the M15 or M5:
This combo gives you a multi-timeframe sniper entry — low risk, high precision.
Another secret: Wait for a sideways + breakout at the LTF.
1. H1 shows a shift in trend after Gold broke out of the range + above the 20-50 Moving Average
2. Wait for price to pull back and tap the H1 50 SMA
3. Drop to M15 — you see:
4. Execute on confirmation
From H1’s macro bias → M15’s micro confirmation = precision execution.
Layer | Purpose |
---|---|
Higher TF (H1/H4) | Sets your directional bias and anticipation zones (20/50) |
Lower TF (M15/M5) | Provides confirmation for bounce or breakout |
Price Action | Tells you when and how to execute |
You’re stacking logic:
Sometimes price won’t bounce — it breaks through the EMA/SMA.
That’s where the moving average flip becomes your role reversal level:
Use the same process:
Let the break happen → wait for LTF confirmation → enter on rejection or retest
✅ 20 or 50 MA zone is tested on higher timeframe
✅ Trend and structure support the direction
✅ Price reacts with confirmation on lower TF (engulfing, BOS, MSS)
✅ Entry on breakout candle close or FVG retest
✅ Stop below the range
✅ Trail using structure or 20-EMA
✅ Exit if price closes beyond both MAs or breaks structure
The 20 EMA and 50 SMA are more than trend tools — they’re reaction zones.
Used with multi-timeframe logic and price action confirmation, they let you:
Don’t just trade the bounce. Anticipate it, confirm it, and then take it with precision.
Practice this flow:
Journal:
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