2025-04-29 16:56:56
The past week in U.S. stock markets delivered a cautious rebound amid rising trade tensions and a critical earnings season for Big Tech. Despite underlying geopolitical risks, optimism around selective corporate earnings and easing auto tariffs helped stabilize the broader indices.
Investor sentiment is increasingly polarized: while geopolitical risks weigh on risk appetite, a handful of strong corporate earnings and easing tariff headlines are keeping hopes alive.
Tensions between the U.S. and China escalated further this week as Beijing launched a diplomatic campaign to counter Washington’s aggressive trade policies. With tariffs rising sharply, China is working to rally international support, warning that unchecked U.S. actions could destabilize global trade.
Facing pressure from domestic automakers and industry groups, President Trump announced measures to mitigate the impact of auto tariffs. The administration plans to alleviate duties on foreign parts used in U.S.-manufactured vehicles and prevent tariff stacking on imported cars. This move is designed to support American workers and domestic manufacturing while addressing concerns about supply chain disruptions and rising vehicle prices
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick described the policy adjustment as a significant achievement, aiming to stabilize financial markets and bolster business confidence. The decision includes provisions for reimbursing prior tariffs on components like steel and aluminum
The VIX has been in a clear downtrend since its April spike, reflecting a shift from panic to cautious calm.
As of the latest candles, it’s hovering just below the 29 level, marking a significant cooling off from the high above 40 earlier in the month.
What This Means:
Daily
Price is sitting above equilibrium, near the upper third of the range, showing mild bullish momentum but no clean breakout yet.
4-Hour
Potential Scenarios
Daily
NAS continue to expand strongly and is compressing into a smaller consolidation above the macro range with a potential upside move.
Price is currently trading near 19500 level which shows signs of price holding ground.
4-Hour
Potential Scenarios
Daily
With correlations to NAS, S&P is also holding its ground after price broke out of the 5500 level. S&P has reclaimed the broad April consolidation range. The latest price action show a tight compression at the breakpoint level — a classic setup before breakout or reversal.
4-Hour
Potential Scenarios
As April draws to a close, markets remain caught in a tug-of-war between geopolitical tensions, shifting tariff policies, and selective earnings optimism. While indices like the Dow and Nasdaq are attempting to stabilize, the underlying volatility compression and liquidity traps remind us that this environment rewards patience and precision — not prediction.
“In uncertain markets, clarity doesn’t come from guessing the next move — it comes from waiting for the market to confirm its intent.”
Stay adaptive, stay risk-aware — and let price, not emotion, lead your next decision.
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This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.
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