Gold, Natural Gas & Oil Market Analysis: Bullish Trends & Breakout Opportunities Amid Global Uncertainty

Jasper Osita - Market Analyst

2025-02-20 11:48:11

Overview

  • Gold on the Rise: Gold's bullish momentum continues against a weakening US Dollar, with prices breaking key resistance levels and potentially targeting the 3000–3100 range.
  • Natural Gas Surges: Severe cold and soaring heating costs have driven Natural Gas prices into a parabolic move, with further upside expected as temperatures drop even lower.
  • Oil Awaits Breakout: Oil remains range-bound, with traders watching closely for a decisive breakout above current equilibrium levels to signal a bullish trend.

Gold Reaching New Highs as Global Uncertainties Weighed Down on the US Dollar

On our previous post, we've highlighted Gold's bullish momentum against the Dollar, and our outlook remains optimistic. With the FOMC minutes confirming a firm decision to hold policy rates steady, we expect Gold to continue its upward surge and soar to new highs.

It is widely expected that the Fed will maintain its target interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% in the upcoming decision, fueling a surge in Gold prices that has already broken the 2942.69 level. With this momentum, Gold could potentially reach new highs, targeting the 3000 - 3100 range.

Before:

After:

We anticipate Gold to trade through the 2946.98 level, potentially unlocking further upside.

Natural Gas on a Parabolic Climb

Previous Forecast

We also anticipated a potential breakout on Natural Gas yesterday on this post

Following a severe cold snap across the United States that spiked heating costs, Natural Gas prices have surged in a parabolic move. Our earlier forecast predicted a breakout, and the current price action confirms this momentum. With forecasts indicating even colder temperatures ahead, further upward pressure on prices is likely.

Potential Gas Direction

For bullish trading opportunities, consider:

  1. Breakout: Targeting a move above 4.285, with stops at 4.226.
  2. Retracement: Watching for a pullback to 4.148 - 4.186, with stops at 4.073.
  3. Deep Discount: Entering in the 3.972 - 4.029 range, with stops at 3.958.

Oil: A Laggard Awaiting a Breakout

While Gold and Natural Gas continue to surge, Oil remains range-bound. A bullish opportunity may arise if Oil can break its current equilibrium and sustain levels above it. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout that could signal the start of a new upward trend.

This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Author

Jasper has been in the markets since 2019 trading currencies, indices and commodities like Gold. His approach in the market is heavily accompanied by technical analysis and of course, supported by fundamentals. He has a background in trading proprietary firms and has been teaching students how to navigate themselves in the markets from basic to advance concepts.

Prices are indicative only