How to Anticipate the New York Session Price Action

Jasper Osita - Market Analyst

2025-08-14 11:34:52

The New York (NY) session is where intraday traders make or break their day.

It’s when liquidity peaks, volatility spikes, and major players step in.

But NY doesn’t always behave the same way.

Some days it’s a smooth extension of London’s trend.

Some days it completely flips the script.

Other days, it just corrects and resumes - or drifts sideways, trapping impatient traders.

Knowing the session type before it happens is the difference between catching clean moves and bleeding out in chop.

This is your Smart Money Concepts (SMC) blueprint for anticipating the NY session type before the bell rings - based on higher-timeframe context, liquidity mapping, and market structure logic.

Why Anticipation Matters

Anticipation isn’t about “predicting the future” - it’s about reading the market’s story so far and projecting the most probable next chapter.

When you map the previous sessions’ structure - Asia’s range, London’s manipulation and run - you’re not starting from scratch in NY.

You’re stepping into a market that already has:

Defined liquidity pools.
Established displacement.
A partially completed daily narrative.

By anticipating NY’s role in that narrative, you can:

Skip low-quality sessions when nothing’s aligned.
Reduce overtrading by waiting for only the clearest setups.
Scale up with conviction when market conditions match your playbook.

Why the Previous Sessions Matter

NY is never in isolation. It’s a reactionary session:

It builds on, corrects, or reverses what London set up.
It responds to liquidity imbalances left earlier in the day.
It often acts as the “completion” leg of the daily range.

Example:

If London trended hard into a major Higher Timeframe (HTF) demand zone, NY might open with a reversal narrative.
If London moved in line with HTF bias but left an unfilled FVG, NY might start with a pullback before continuing.

Lesson: You cannot trade NY effectively without first dissecting Asia and London.

The 4 NY Session Types & How to Anticipate Them

A. Pullback Session – “The Reset Before the Push”

When to Expect:

London delivered a strong move aligned with HTF bias.
London high / low swept ahead of NY session.
There’s unfilled imbalance (FVG) or unmitigated OB behind the move.
Price is in premium (for sells) or discount (for buys) relative to London’s leg.

SMC Playbook:

Mark London’s high/low.
Use Fibonacci on the London leg - watch the 50–78.6% retracement zone.
Wait for a liquidity sweep into HTF mitigation, then look for MSS + displacement.

B. Continuation Session – “London’s Trend on Steroids”

When to Expect:

London’s trend is strong with multiple displacement legs.
HTF supply/demand zones are far away.
No major reversal catalyst on the calendar.
Sweep of previous session has been fulfilled ahead of NY session.

SMC Playbook:

Identify untagged liquidity, previous session highs and lows.
Look for micro pullbacks into M5/M15 FVGs during London–NY overlap.
Ride the same directional flow with tighter risk.

C. Reversal Session – “The Realignment”

When to Expect:

London moved against HTF bias.
London tapped a major HTF supply/demand zone before NY open.
London’s liquidity objective is complete before NY open.

SMC Playbook:

Let NY sweep final liquidity in London’s direction.
Wait for HTF + intraday MSS and displacement opposite to London.
Target liquidity pools in the opposite direction.

D. Sideways Session – “The Trap Day”

When to Expect:

London completed the entire Accumulation–Manipulation–Distribution cycle.
Price is stuck between HTF zones with no room to run.
Market is waiting for a major news event later in the day/week.

SMC Playbook:

Reduce position size or skip the session.
Range trade only if experienced (buy low/sell high with tight stops).
Confirm low volume and lack of displacement before committing.

Essential Filters for Session Type Prediction

DXY Alignment – Strong USD direction increases continuation/reversal probability.
Liquidity Location – Where’s the nearest untagged liquidity? Above or below?
News Calendar – NFP, CPI, FOMC can turn a continuation into a reversal instantly.
ADR (Average Daily Range) – If ADR is already met before NY, expect pullback or sideways.
Cross-Pair Correlation – Related pairs can confirm or warn of potential traps.

Cautions When Trading NY

Beware the NY Open Whipsaw: The first 15–30 minutes often include liquidity sweeps in both directions before a true move emerges.
Don’t Assume London’s Move Will Continue: If London already hit a daily target, NY continuation odds drop.
Watch for News Landmines: U.S. data releases can completely flip session type - even if structure says otherwise.
Avoid Revenge Trading: NY volatility can tempt you into “chasing back” London losses - a fast way to dig deeper.

Final Thoughts – Trade the Narrative, Not the Clock

The New York session is powerful - but only when traded in context.

By reading the story of the previous sessions, understanding where liquidity sits, and knowing which session type is most probable, you step into NY with clarity instead of chaos.

You’re not just reacting to candles - you’re executing a narrative.

And in SMC, narrative is what keeps you on the side of the big players, not the trapped retail crowd.

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This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Author

Jasper has been in the markets since 2019 trading currencies, indices and commodities like Gold. His approach in the market is heavily accompanied by technical analysis and of course, supported by fundamentals. He has a background in trading proprietary firms and has been teaching students how to navigate themselves in the markets from basic to advance concepts.

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Prices are indicative only

How to Anticipate the New York Session Price Action

Why Anticipation Matters

Why the Previous Sessions Matter

The 4 NY Session Types & How to Anticipate Them

A. Pullback Session – “The Reset Before the Push”

B. Continuation Session – “London’s Trend on Steroids”

C. Reversal Session – “The Realignment”

D. Sideways Session – “The Trap Day”

Essential Filters for Session Type Prediction

Cautions When Trading NY

Final Thoughts – Trade the Narrative, Not the Clock

Start Practicing with Confidence - Risk-Free!

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