Metal and Energy Movers: Gold's Upside Rush, Natural Gas Breakout, and Oil's Waiting Game

Jasper Osita - Market Analyst

2025-02-19 12:07:54

Overview:

  • Gold: Bullish momentum remains strong, with a target of 2942.69 in sight. A weakening US Dollar further supports the case for continued strength. Monitor key support zones for buying opportunities.
  • Natural Gas: Watch for consolidation and a breakout for upside potential. Alternatively, look for fair value gaps for potential retracement levels.
  • Oil: Exercise patience and wait for a decisive breakout from the range-bound pattern before entering a trade.

Gold Price Targets Soar: Citi and Goldman Set Sights on $3000 - $3100

In an era of global economic uncertainty, gold is shining brighter than ever. As geopolitical tensions intensify and economic risks loom, major financial institutions are setting bold price targets for gold. Citi has set its target at $3000, while Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook from $3000 to $3100, reflecting growing confidence in gold's upward momentum.

Gold's Appeal Amid Economic Uncertainty

With President Trump's tariff policies continuing to cast shadows over the global economy, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. Gold, known for its stability during turbulent times, has emerged as a preferred choice. The World Gold Council also recognizes gold as a strategic asset amid ongoing geopolitical disputes in Asia, the Ukraine-Russia war in Europe, and conflicts in the Middle East.

Gold's allure is not just about safety; it’s about strategic positioning in an unpredictable world. As economic uncertainties linger, gold is poised to reach new heights.

Technical Analysis: Gold's Bullish Momentum, Gold Recovery Set for a Draw to 2942.69 All-Time High

Since Monday, February 17, gold has shown consistent bullish momentum. This upward strength was sparked by a positive reaction at the internal range liquidity, particularly within the 4-Hour Fair Value Gap.

Currently, gold is on track to test the 2942.69 level, a critical resistance points with significant upside potential. If the price maintains its strength, the $3000 target remains achievable.

Dollar Weakness Fuels Gold's Rally

One of the key drivers behind gold's continued strength is the weakening US Dollar. Historically, gold and the Dollar have maintained an inverse correlation. As the Dollar weakens, gold gains strength, making it an attractive asset for investors looking to hedge against currency fluctuations.

With the Dollar showing signs of continued weakness, gold’s bullish outlook is likely to persist, potentially paving the way to the $3000 - $3100 target range set by Citi and Goldman.

Natural Gas Surges to New Highs: Targeting 3.958 Level

After nearly two months of range-bound price action, Natural Gas is now challenging the 3.958 resistance level with a potential for further upside. This breakout marks a significant shift in momentum, attracting the attention of traders and investors alike.

LNG Exports Surge as Global Demand Strengthens, Lower Weather Temperatures

Gas will continue its demand and higher prices due to a higher heating demand resulting from colder weather and a lower supply.

Trading Strategy: Breakout or Retracement?

For those looking to capitalize on this move, the ideal strategy is to wait for a small consolidation followed by a breakout. This would confirm the bullish momentum and provide a clearer entry point for upside buying opportunities.

Alternatively, for a more conservative approach, traders can watch for fair value gaps or imbalances that may indicate potential retracement levels, offering a lower-risk entry point.

Oil Stuck in Range-Bound Motion

While gold and Natural Gas are showing strong momentum, Oil remains range-bound with no clear direction. The current price action suggests indecision, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched.

Best Approach: Patience is Key

For traders eyeing Oil, the best approach is to wait for a breakout from either side of the range. Jumping into a trade prematurely could result in getting trapped within the range, leading to frustrating sideways movement.

Patience and discipline are crucial in navigating this market, as a decisive breakout will provide the necessary confirmation for a trend-following strategy.

Strategic Approach

With geopolitical uncertainties and economic challenges driving market dynamics, gold continues to shine as a strategic investment. Major banks like Citi and Goldman are setting bold price targets, reflecting their confidence in gold's upward potential.

Strategic Approach:

  • For Gold: Maintain a bullish bias and look for buying opportunities on retracements.
  • For Natural Gas: Position for a breakout or wait for retracement to support zones.
  • For Oil: Wait for a breakout to confirm a trend before committing to a position.

This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Autor

Jasper has been in the markets since 2019 trading currencies, indices and commodities like Gold. His approach in the market is heavily accompanied by technical analysis and of course, supported by fundamentals. He has a background in trading proprietary firms and has been teaching students how to navigate themselves in the markets from basic to advance concepts.

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